Approaches to clinical problem solving
Dual-process reasoning, illness scripts and pattern recognition, building and ranking a differential with pre-test probability, the cognitive biases that cause diagnostic error, and debiasing strategies that work.
Tier 1Medical sciences concept
Written with AI assistance and fact-checked against the sources below. For exam study, not clinical decisions. How notes are made
At a glance
- Diagnosis is a process of gathering information, generating hypotheses, testing them and revising. Most errors come from a mix of system factors (handover, access, test follow-up) and cognitive factors.
- Graber 2005 reviewed 100 diagnostic errors in internal medicine: cognitive factors in 74%, system factors in 65%. Premature closure was the single commonest cognitive error. Faulty knowledge was rare; faulty synthesis was the usual problem.
- The US burden study (Newman-Toker 2024) estimated about 795,000 deaths or permanent disabilities a year from diagnostic error, concentrated in vascular events, infections and cancers.
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Sources
- The importance of cognitive errors in diagnosis and strategies to minimize them (Croskerry P. Acad Med 2003;78:775-80)Academic Medicine, 2003
- Cognitive debiasing 1: origins of bias and theory of debiasing (Croskerry P, Singhal G, Mamede S. BMJ Qual Saf 2013;22 Suppl 2:ii58-64)BMJ Quality and Safety, 2013
- Diagnostic error in internal medicine (Graber ML, Franklin N, Gordon R. Arch Intern Med 2005;165:1493-9)Archives of Internal Medicine, 2005
- Improving Diagnosis in Health CareNational Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, 2015
- Burden of serious harms from diagnostic error in the USA (Newman-Toker DE et al. BMJ Qual Saf 2024;33:109-20)BMJ Quality and Safety, 2024
- NSQHS Standards (second edition, 2021 version); third edition in developmentAU/NZAustralian Commission on Safety and Quality in Health Care, 2021
- Last updated
- 14 November 2026
What changed
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